Statistical

WEIBULL Formula

Returns the Weibull distribution, used extensively in reliability engineering and failure analysis. The Weibull distribution models time-to-failure data and can represent increasing failure rates (wear-out), decreasing failure rates (infant mortality), or constant failure rates depending on its shape parameter.

Syntax

WEIBULL(x, alpha, beta, cumulative)
ParameterDescription
x Parameter of the WEIBULL function.
alpha Parameter of the WEIBULL function.
beta Parameter of the WEIBULL function.
cumulative Parameter of the WEIBULL function.
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Examples

Probability of failure within 2 years

Formula
=WEIBULL(2, 1.5, 5, TRUE)
Returns ~0.1647. With shape=1.5 (increasing failure rate) and scale=5 years, about 16.5% of units fail within the first 2 years.

Survival probability

Formula
=1-WEIBULL(10000, 2, 8000, TRUE)
Returns ~0.2096. About 21% of components survive past 10,000 hours when the Weibull shape is 2 (linearly increasing failure rate) and scale is 8,000 hours.

PDF for failure rate analysis

Formula
=WEIBULL(3, 2, 4, FALSE)
Returns ~0.1902. The probability density at t=3 with shape=2 (Rayleigh distribution) and scale=4.

Common Errors

#NUM!

x must be non-negative, and both alpha (shape) and beta (scale) must be positive.

#VALUE!

Occurs when arguments are non-numeric.

Tips

Shape parameter interpretation

alpha < 1: decreasing failure rate (infant mortality). alpha = 1: constant failure rate (exponential distribution). alpha > 1: increasing failure rate (wear-out).

Scale is the characteristic life

The scale parameter (beta) is the time at which 63.2% of units have failed, regardless of the shape parameter. It is also called the characteristic life in reliability.

Reliability function

The reliability (survival) function is simply =1 - WEIBULL(t, alpha, beta, TRUE). This gives the probability of surviving past time t.

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